CMC Markets专栏:澳指数200潜在继续探底

澳指200目前在4950附近运行，有望短期反弹再次试探5000整数关口，技术形态上看仍然空头较强，5000-5030将可能为再次受阻下行，潜在下方支持位置将为4850，4750附近。

基本面：

澳指200随原油价格下滑而再次走出下行趋势，自3月18日高位5200附近持续下行，目前再次下破5000整数关口。能源板块受国际油价再次跳水影响呈现最差表现。目前关于原油产量冻结的协议仍然未果，市场对于4月17日沙特与其他产油国的会议预期不为明朗，主要是由于伊朗无意配合减产计划。

技术图形一：

时间周期：日线图

技术形态：下降趋势线

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标： 5日均线，10日均线，抛物转向系统，黄金分割延展线，云图
• 随机震荡指标： MACD（10,25,5）

日线图中澳指200在 云图下轨受到支持而反弹，潜在阻力位置受看4980（5日均线），然后是5000-5030的空间（10日均线与云图中线），但有可能在反弹后继续下行趋势，下方关键潜在支持位置受看4850，然后是4750。

技术指标中Stochastic随即震荡指标显示向下查穿中线。

技术图形二：

时间周期：周线图

技术形态：下行通道

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：保利加通道，熊背离
• 随机震荡指标：MACD(12,26,9), Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2）

周线图显示澳指200自2015年8月份大跌后便在坡度较缓的下行通道中运行，目前已经下破保利加通道中轨，有望继续下行探测下轨附近4750。

Stoch显示出与价格有熊背离形成，同时MACD有转头向下的迹象。

Contact Information

如有更多问题，欢迎致电：
澳大利亚免费中文电话：1300 668 268
访问中文网站，了解更多信息

Disclaimer AU

Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.

Disclaimer NZ

Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

Author photo

Author profile

Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。