CMC Markets专栏:美日继续反弹的空间在哪?

由于昨日美元大涨，美日出现底部反弹迹象，技术形态上看美日在日内继续的潜在反弹空间目标为107.60，然后是108.20与108.90。

技术图形一：

时间周期：日线图

技术形态：潜在筑底反弹

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：黄金分割延展线，保利加通道
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2）,  MACD（12,26,9）

日线图中美日在保利加通道底部出现潜在的筑底迹象，很有可能由此反弹，潜在目标首看61.8%的回荡线附近108.20，然后是保利加通道中轨108.90左右。

技术指标中Stochastic随即震荡指标出现在超卖区域，并且出现向上交叉的形态，可能是多头的潜在信号。

技术图形二：

时间周期：周线图

技术形态：5浪下跌终结，下行趋势可能会暂时结束

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：黄金分割延展线
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2） ，MACD（12,26,9）

周线图中美日自12月份开始跌势，并且形成5浪下跌的趋势，目前正好在黄金分割延展线200.0%附近受到支持有反弹迹象。目前短期的潜在上行阻力在107.60附近，如果突破则会可能 向日线图中的两个潜在多头目标行进。

两项技术指标Stoch与MACD均有潜在的反向反弹迹象，Stoch已经在超卖区域运行已久，并有向上反弹的迹象。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。