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CMC Markets专栏:中国数据利好恒生指数筑底反弹

2015-09-10 来源: CMC Markets专栏 评论0条

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

Article
中国8月份居民消费指数同比上涨2%,创年内新高,好于预期值1.9%,远好于前值1.6%。同时受能源与生产原材料价格下跌影响,8月份生产者出厂价格指数同比下降5.9%。中国央行行长周小川在G2峰会上表示,中国股市已经基本完成修正期,中国经济将继续保持稳定增长的势态。近日来中国股市出现反弹形态,香港恒生指数在技术及形态出现短期筑底形态。短期潜在反弹目标很可能在23800-24300的区间。
 
香港恒生指数日线图
从日线图上看,恒生指数由现在的近似双底形态,颈线位置在黄金分割线23.6%附近的22100左右,分别于8月24日与9月8日在20100附近受到支持向上反弹,加之数据的利好支持,很可能再次试探颈线部位。如果能够顺利突破则下一个潜在的多头目标可能会在23300,然后是24300。

CMC Markets专栏:中国数据利好恒生指数筑底反弹 - 1
 

恒生指数月线图

从月线图上看,恒生指数已经跌破上升趋势线,加之技术指标仍显示空头较强,均未出现明显反转信号,中长期内恒生指数仍然可能在21300-23800的区间作调整。
 CMC Markets专栏:中国数据利好恒生指数筑底反弹 - 2
 
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CMC Markets专栏:中国数据利好恒生指数筑底反弹 - 3

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务,负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法,认为金融市场是集历史,经济,政治,心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言;而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合,与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年,Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前,自2005年至2009年,她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职,负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章,造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。

关键词: 恒生指数反弹
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