CMC Markets专栏: 纽币对澳币潜在回撤位置

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

Article
澳币与纽币的货币交易属于交叉盘的范畴，即无美元的交易。一般层面来讲澳币与纽币是相对于美元同向而动，但由于两国的贸易关系与货币政策的差异使得这一对交叉盘经常会走出周期性的趋势。近日由于乳品价格近期的回升与抄底情绪的影响，纽币本月相对澳币持续走强。澳币则由于受大宗商品价格与中国经济因素影响而迟迟未能有强劲突破的表现。

技术图形上看，纽币对澳币有可能在0.9500附近受阻回撤，潜在回撤目标可能在0.9150-0.9200的空间。

日线图

自10月13日以来纽币/澳币在潜在向上楔形中整理上行，可能向上再次测试通道顶部位置 0.9500附近，此位置也是保利加通道上轨位置。有可能在此位置受阻回撤下行，向下的回撤目标可能会分别在0.9350，0.9300，0.9260，0.9200。

周线图

周线图上也可以清晰看到潜在的阻力位置在0.9510附近，而下方的潜在的回调位置仍然可能在50天均线附近的位置0.9220，基本与日线图所呈现位置吻合。

基本面上，澳洲刚刚公布的第三季度CPI数据录得0.5%，差于预期值0.7%，澳币大幅下滑，纽币受牵连也称下行。明日上午重磅消息将是新西兰时间7点钟的美联储议息会议内容发布与9点的新西兰央行的议息会议，市场预期新西兰将保持利息率不变，而美联储可能不会加息。

Contact Information AU
如有更多问题，欢迎致电：
澳大利亚免费中文电话：1300 668 268
开设免费模拟账户，无风险演练交易

Disclaimer
Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.

Author photo

Author profile
Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。