CMC Markets专栏:今日可是美股反弹好时机?

之前的文章中提及过美国三大指数日线图在通道整理中运行，各指数已经触及之前所预期的通道底部附近。基本面上支持美股下跌的理由为2016年新年伊始中国股市的大幅下滑与美联储预期加息进程的循序渐进，使得美国股市新年开盘全线跳水。而这是否预示着美国股市将由此下滑？短期内并没有明显迹象支持这一趋势。而技术形态上，美国三大股指有可能在此出现技术形反弹而继续通道整理运行。

以道指与标普500为例，美国道琼斯指数与标普500指数再次触及日线图的通道底部，昨日均收底部类似十字星的形态。此种技术形态， 在没有绝对理由支持下跌的情况下，多头很有可能在此位置建仓买入以导致技术形反弹。道指的潜在反弹位置有可能在17100附近，上方反弹目标可能在17590附近，然后是17890附近；美国标普指数500的潜在反弹位置有可能在2000整数位置附近，上方的潜在目标可能在2060，2100，2120。

道指日线图中，以黄金分割延展线进行技术阻力位置观察，上方的潜在阻力位置将为17590（23.6%），17890（38.2%）。

同样使用黄金分割延展线，上方的潜在阻力位置可能在2060（23.6%），2010（38.2%），2120（50.0%）。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。