CMC Markets专栏:纽币澳币下行空间有多大?

纽币、澳币日前由再度破位下跌的迹象，纽币/美元再次破位0.6500，而澳币已经跌至前低0.6900附近的位置。受国际大环境影响，“避险”当头商品货币遭受打压，中国货币贬值则对于纽、澳两国的货币产生直接的影响。

技术图形上看，可以说纽币、澳币的跌势有增无减，纽币/美元有望向前低0.6240附近下探 ，本年度也许能够继续下行至0.5920附近；澳币/美元则年内有望跌至0.6140的可能性。

纽币周线图上形成潜在的双定形态，而且已经有跌破颈线部位0.6500的可能性，短期内有再探前低0.6240的可能性。但月线图上显示跌势加重，本月两个星期的时间跌幅已达400余点。很有可能跌破前低0.6240附近而继续下行，可能在今年下半年时期内跌至0.5920附近。

澳币的日线图中显示，由于已经跌至前低，在0.6900附近连续收到支持，短期内有机会反弹，潜在的反弹目标有可能在0.7100附近。但由于跌势仍然强势，破位下跌的可能性极大，长期的下方的空头目标可能在0.6140附近。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。