CMC Markets专栏: 欧日美货币技术趣图一揽

美国10月份非农以后，本周前三日货币市场方面的行情出现了美元预准回调的行情，纽币与澳币的反弹行情已经讨论过。现在可以回到传统避险货币日元、欧元与美元的技术图形来对照作近期走势进行讨论。今日澳纽晚间时间，欧洲央行行长德拉吉与美联储主席耶伦会再次讲话，给出欧元与美元的近期走势信号。而同作为主要储备货币并传统意义上避险只用的三大货币，目前实力比拚如何？我们可以从技术形态上作以浏览。
 
美元/日元 、欧元/美元

技术层面上看，美元/日元，欧元/美元均已经在上周末美国非农数据后冲破其长期横盘整理的位置。但在本周前三日的形态上看， 有顶部与底部回调的迹象。短期图形日线图中，美日在顶部出现筑顶下行迹象，有望短期回调至潜在的支持位置121.80附近。而欧元也出现坐底反弹迹象，有望上探潜在阻力位置1.0850-60左右的区域。总体来看，美元有望相对于这两大货币出现短期回撤的迹象。但由于美联储年底加息的预期强烈，很有可能在此两大货币试探其关键位置之后仍旧弱势下行。

欧元/日元

从欧元/日元的日线图上看，短期内欧元对日元由上行的态势，在长期的下降楔形整理运行中，目前在底部轨道附近131.80多日支持后有望再次上行试探135.30附近。则可以说明的是欧元相对欧元仍然显强势。
 
则日元看来是三大货币中最弱之货币，也正好与目前全球现有的经济形势温和。日本经济近年来的瓶颈受阻现状越发严重，而欧元区仍然是盘大底稳的货币之一，但由于希腊债务问题引发的经济下滑使其实力逐渐下滑，美国可以说是最先从经济危机中逐步走出雾霾而有加息预期的国家，导致美元目前的持续走强。

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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。